The year 2024 marked the first time global temperatures exceeded 1.5 °C, raising questions about climate projection accuracy and implications for climate goals. We quantify the timing and likelihood ...
The observed warming of global mean surface temperature has been used to reduce uncertainty in future climate change and impact projections, but the information embedded in the spatial pattern of ...
Global warming has accelerated since 2015, according to a new study by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK). After accounting for known natural influences on global temperature, the ...