An inverted yield curve is a good, if imperfect, recession indicator. The economy has been resilient to the latest inversion.

The 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields inverted for the first time since 2019 on Thursday, sending a possible warning signal that a recession could be on the horizon. The bond market phenomenon means ...

The market's most notorious recession indicator is sending investors a new message: tech stocks are about to get left behind. That's according to Jim Paulsen, a Wall Street veteran and the former ...

Take a closer look at what a recession is, what to expect, and things that might indicate a recession is coming.

The bond market indicator in question is the yield curve, which tracks the yields on Treasury securities that are repaid after different periods. That includes the Federal Reserve. Minutes of the ...

The bond market's notorious recession gauge may actually be sending some good news about the economy. The Treasury yield curve — which is often referred to in the context of the spread between the ...

The probability that the National Bureau of Economic Research will someday determine a national recession began in the U.S. between December 2025 and December 2026 has fallen below twenty percent.